Back to UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy ·The O2 Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Shanelle Dyer
Ravena Oliveira
69% 31%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dyer: 49 sig / 1 TD · Oliveira: 26 sig / 0 TD
Shanelle Dyer
Ravena Oliveira
42
Sig strikes landed
26
78
Sig strikes attempted
73
71
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
184s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Shanelle Dyer

"The Nightmare"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L2

Ravena Oliveira

"Kenoudy"
7-5-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
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