Back to UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Prelims1 Featherweight

Nathaniel Wood vs Losene Keita

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Nathaniel Wood
Losene Keita
55% 45%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
W3
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Wood: 67 sig / 0 TD · Keita: 52 sig / 0 TD
Nathaniel Wood
Losene Keita
63
Sig strikes landed
48
109
Sig strikes attempted
103
75
Total strikes landed
57
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Nathaniel Wood

"The Last Kingsman"
24-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
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W UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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L UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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W UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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Blue corner

Losene Keita

"Black Panther"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28