Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bolaji Oki
Manoel Sousa
39%
61%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
30
Age
Δ 2y
29
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Oki: 84 sig / 1 TD ·
Sousa: 71 sig / 0 TD
Bolaji Oki
Manoel Sousa
50
Sig strikes landed
51
120
Sig strikes attempted
111
59
Total strikes landed
68
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
30s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bolaji Oki
"The Zulu Warrior"
10-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
Manoel Sousa
"Manumito"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29