Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Elijah Smith
SuYoung You
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
65"
24
Age
Δ 7y
30
11-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
17-4
W2
Current streak
W3
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Smith: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
You: 3 sig / 4 TD
Elijah Smith
SuYoung You
36
Sig strikes landed
31
71
Sig strikes attempted
60
46
Total strikes landed
54
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
168s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Elijah Smith
"Swift"
11-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
SuYoung You
"Yoo-Jitsu"
17-4
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—