Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Charles Johnson
Bruno Silva
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
65"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
19-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-8-2
L1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 85 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 73 sig / 0 TD
Charles Johnson
Bruno Silva
87
Sig strikes landed
55
151
Sig strikes attempted
115
79
Total strikes landed
60
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
67s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
16-8-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—