Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ion Cutelaba
Oumar Sy
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 8"
83"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
20-12-1
Career record
Δ 26 pp
13-2
L1
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Cutelaba: 14 sig / 1 TD ·
Sy: 5 sig / 0 TD
Ion Cutelaba
Oumar Sy
28
Sig strikes landed
39
56
Sig strikes attempted
79
47
Total strikes landed
60
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
104s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
19 fights · 8-10
Last 5
L
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
Blue corner
W1
Oumar Sy
13-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—