Prelims1
Featherweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Javier Reyes
74%
26%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
41
Age
Δ 8y
32
L1
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva de Andrade: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Reyes: 46 sig / 1 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Javier Reyes
51
Sig strikes landed
55
118
Sig strikes attempted
133
62
Total strikes landed
71
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
85s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
Blue corner
Javier Reyes
"Blair"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Age
32