Prelims1
Bantamweight
Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cristian Quinonez
Kris Moutinho
80%
20%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
19-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
14-9
L2
Current streak
L3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Quinonez: 38 sig / 7 TD ·
Moutinho: 28 sig / 0 TD
Cristian Quinonez
Kris Moutinho
36
Sig strikes landed
27
73
Sig strikes attempted
68
59
Total strikes landed
42
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
193s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Cristian Quinonez
"Problema"
19-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
L3
Kris Moutinho
14-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—