Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ailin Perez
Macy Chiasson
73%
27%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
31
Age
Δ 3y
35
14-2
Career record
Δ 26 pp
11-7
W5
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 27 sig / 6 TD ·
Chiasson: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ailin Perez
Macy Chiasson
38
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
69
78
Total strikes landed
66
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
285s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
14-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
Blue corner
L2
Macy Chiasson
11-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—