Back to UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Main Flyweight

Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Imanol Rodriguez
Kevin Borjas
64% 36%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rodriguez: 46 sig / 1 TD · Borjas: 22 sig / 0 TD
Imanol Rodriguez
Kevin Borjas
43
Sig strikes landed
47
96
Sig strikes attempted
106
89
Total strikes landed
62
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
195s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Imanol Rodriguez

"Himan"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L1

Kevin Borjas

"El Gallo Negro"
10-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
L UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
L UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira