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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Javid Basharat
Gianni Vazquez
69% 31%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
L2
Current streak
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6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Basharat: 59 sig / 3 TD · Vazquez: 24 sig / 0 TD
Javid Basharat
Gianni Vazquez
50
Sig strikes landed
46
94
Sig strikes attempted
101
70
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Javid Basharat

"The Snow Leopard"
15-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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Blue corner

Gianni Vazquez

"Kriptonita"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32