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Prelims1 Catch Weight

Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Wang Cong
Eduarda Moura
46% 54%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
10-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-2
W2
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cong: 39 sig / 0 TD · Moura: 12 sig / 3 TD
Wang Cong
Eduarda Moura
59
Sig strikes landed
54
117
Sig strikes attempted
129
58
Total strikes landed
76
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.7
-0.2
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
41s
Control time
208s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Wang Cong

"The Joker"
10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
Blue corner
W2

Eduarda Moura

"Ronda"
13-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
W UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…