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Prelims1 Welterweight

Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Nikolay Veretennikov
Niko Price
53% 47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
36
Age
Δ 0y
36
14-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-12
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
19

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Veretennikov: 19 sig / 0 TD · Price: 9 sig / 0 TD
Nikolay Veretennikov
Niko Price
46
Sig strikes landed
46
84
Sig strikes attempted
97
58
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nikolay Veretennikov

"Gladiator"
14-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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Blue corner
L2

Niko Price

"The Hybrid"
16-12 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 19 fights · 8-9
Last 5
L UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
L UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—