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Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Julius Walker
53% 47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
38
Age
Δ 11y
27
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
8-2
W2
Current streak
W1
16
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Jacoby: 42 sig / 0 TD · Walker: 7 sig / 3 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Julius Walker
69
Sig strikes landed
61
128
Sig strikes attempted
141
89
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
88s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Dustin Jacoby

"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 16 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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Blue corner
W1

Julius Walker

"Juice Box"
8-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
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