Main
Bantamweight
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jean Matsumoto
Farid Basharat
60%
40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
18-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
16-0
W1
Current streak
W5
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Matsumoto: 76 sig / 7 TD ·
Basharat: 80 sig / 2 TD
Jean Matsumoto
Farid Basharat
51
Sig strikes landed
60
117
Sig strikes attempted
128
68
Total strikes landed
103
0.5
Takedowns landed
3.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
7.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
77s
Control time
358s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jean Matsumoto
18-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
Blue corner
W5
Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
16-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—