Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amir Albazi
Kyoji Horiguchi
26%
74%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
63"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
17-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
37-5
L1
Current streak
W4
6
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Albazi: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Horiguchi: 73 sig / 0 TD
Amir Albazi
Kyoji Horiguchi
41
Sig strikes landed
56
119
Sig strikes attempted
118
59
Total strikes landed
70
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
4.8
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
132s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
17-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
Blue corner
W4
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
37-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—