Back to UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Prelims1 Welterweight

Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Phil Rowe
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
36% 64%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
36
Age
Δ 8y
27
L1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rowe: 54 sig / 0 TD · Lebosnoyani: 66 sig / 3 TD
Phil Rowe
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
39
Sig strikes landed
39
86
Sig strikes attempted
73
52
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Phil Rowe

"The Fresh Prince"
11-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
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Blue corner

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

"Mufasa"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
27