Prelims1
Featherweight
Jordan Leavitt vs Yadier del Valle
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jordan Leavitt
Yadier del Valle
61%
39%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
14-3
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-1
W1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Leavitt: 17 sig / 4 TD ·
del Valle: 13 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Leavitt
Yadier del Valle
13
Sig strikes landed
10
23
Sig strikes attempted
17
35
Total strikes landed
18
1.4
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
64%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
14-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
Blue corner
W2
Yadier del Valle
"The Cuban Problem"
11-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—