Prelims1
Welterweight
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ramiz Brahimaj
Punahele Soriano
49%
51%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
14-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-4
W3
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brahimaj: 38 sig / 3 TD ·
Soriano: 40 sig / 3 TD
Ramiz Brahimaj
Punahele Soriano
24
Sig strikes landed
28
52
Sig strikes attempted
53
33
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
111s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ramiz Brahimaj
14-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—