Prelims1
Welterweight
Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Chidi Njokuani
Carlos Leal
43%
57%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
37
Age
Δ 5y
32
25-13
Career record
Δ 8 pp
23-8
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Njokuani: 120 sig / 0 TD ·
Leal: 115 sig / 0 TD
Chidi Njokuani
Carlos Leal
59
Sig strikes landed
51
128
Sig strikes attempted
95
68
Total strikes landed
66
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
84s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Carlos Leal
"The Lion"
23-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—