Back to UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Prelims1 Flyweight

Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ode Osbourne
Alibi Idiris
41% 59%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
13-10
Career record
Δ 28 pp
11-2
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Osbourne: 32 sig / 0 TD · Idiris: 30 sig / 5 TD
Ode Osbourne
Alibi Idiris
33
Sig strikes landed
30
65
Sig strikes attempted
50
43
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
82s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ode Osbourne

"The Jamaican Sensation"
13-10 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 12 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
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W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
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L UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
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L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Alibi Idiris

11-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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