Back to UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

Donte Johnson vs Cody Brundage

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Donte Johnson
Cody Brundage
79% 21%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
9-0
Career record
Δ 48 pp
12-10-1
W1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 45 sig / 0 TD · Brundage: 31 sig / 2 TD
Donte Johnson
Cody Brundage
21
Sig strikes landed
14
36
Sig strikes attempted
29
52
Total strikes landed
20
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
228s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
61%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Donte Johnson

"Lock Jaw"
9-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
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Blue corner
L2

Cody Brundage

12-10-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 14 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
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D UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
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L UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
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