Back to UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Prelims1 Featherweight

Ricky Turcios vs Alberto Montes

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ricky Turcios
Alberto Montes
46% 54%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
L2
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Turcios: 22 sig / 0 TD · Montes: 32 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Turcios
Alberto Montes
47
Sig strikes landed
44
114
Sig strikes attempted
99
62
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
106s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Ricky Turcios

13-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
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Blue corner

Alberto Montes

"The Promise"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32