Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rob Font
Raul Rosas Jr.
34%
66%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
39
Age
Δ 17y
21
22-11
Career record
Δ 26 pp
13-1
L1
Current streak
W4
20
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Font: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Rosas Jr.: 8 sig / 16 TD
Rob Font
Raul Rosas Jr.
50
Sig strikes landed
66
81
Sig strikes attempted
127
71
Total strikes landed
93
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.7
-0.6
Takedowns attempted
9.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
301s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rob Font
22-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
20 fights · 12-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W4
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
21
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—