Main
Middleweight
Gregory Rodrigues vs Brunno Ferreira
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gregory Rodrigues
Brunno Ferreira
63%
37%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
20-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-3
W2
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rodrigues: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Ferreira: 2 sig / 0 TD
Gregory Rodrigues
Brunno Ferreira
57
Sig strikes landed
30
108
Sig strikes attempted
74
57
Total strikes landed
39
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
20-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W3
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
16-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—