Main
Lightweight
Quillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Quillan Salkilld
Jamie Mullarkey
75%
25%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
26
Age
Δ 5y
32
13-1
Career record
Δ 25 pp
19-9
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Salkilld: 5 sig / 2 TD ·
Mullarkey: 1 sig / 1 TD
Quillan Salkilld
Jamie Mullarkey
40
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
76
58
Total strikes landed
42
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
170s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Quillan Salkilld
13-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jamie Mullarkey
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—