Back to UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Main Heavyweight

Tai Tuivasa vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Tai Tuivasa
Tallison Teixeira
39% 61%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 8"
83"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
15-11
Career record
Δ 17 pp
9-3
L5
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tuivasa: 42 sig / 0 TD · Teixeira: 51 sig / 3 TD
Tai Tuivasa
Tallison Teixeira
17
Sig strikes landed
40
20
Sig strikes attempted
55
31
Total strikes landed
54
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
0.3
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
115s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L5

Tai Tuivasa

"Bam Bam"
15-11
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 16 fights · 8-8
Last 5
L UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
L1

Tallison Teixeira

"Xicao"
9-3
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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