Back to UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Junior Tafa
Billy Elekana
43% 57%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
29
Age
Δ 1y
31
7-6
Career record
Δ 31 pp
11-2
L1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Tafa: 38 sig / 0 TD · Elekana: 24 sig / 1 TD
Junior Tafa
Billy Elekana
16
Sig strikes landed
26
25
Sig strikes attempted
45
19
Total strikes landed
40
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
58s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Junior Tafa

"The Juggernaut"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
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W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
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L UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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L UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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Blue corner
W2

Billy Elekana

"Son of Susie"
11-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
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W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—