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Prelims1 Middleweight

Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cam Rowston
Cody Brundage
81% 19%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
16-3
Career record
Δ 32 pp
12-10-1
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rowston: 57 sig / 0 TD · Brundage: 29 sig / 0 TD
Cam Rowston
Cody Brundage
22
Sig strikes landed
16
60
Sig strikes attempted
45
34
Total strikes landed
18
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
86s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cam Rowston

16-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
Blue corner
L1

Cody Brundage

12-10-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 13 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
D UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
W UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
L UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
W UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…