Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kaan Ofli
Yizha
23%
77%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
15-4-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
27-6
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Ofli: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Yizha: 68 sig / 3 TD
Kaan Ofli
Yizha
22
Sig strikes landed
31
47
Sig strikes attempted
58
39
Total strikes landed
54
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
145s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kaan Ofli
"Genghis"
15-4-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Yizha
27-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—