Back to UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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Dan Hooker vs Benoit Saint Denis

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Benoit Saint Denis
42% 58%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
24-15
Career record
Δ 24 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W3
23
UFC fights in our DB
11

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hooker: 30 sig / 0 TD · Saint Denis: 97 sig / 2 TD
Dan Hooker
Benoit Saint Denis
51
Sig strikes landed
52
87
Sig strikes attempted
104
69
Total strikes landed
70
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
66s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dan Hooker

"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database 23 fights · 14-9
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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W UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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W UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
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W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
Blue corner
W3

Benoit Saint Denis

"God of War"
18-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
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W UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
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W UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
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L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
L UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—