Prelims1
Bantamweight
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Umar Nurmagomedov
Deiveson Figueiredo
74%
26%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
21-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
26-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nurmagomedov: 34 sig / 2 TD ·
Figueiredo: 8 sig / 0 TD
Umar Nurmagomedov
Deiveson Figueiredo
48
Sig strikes landed
24
86
Sig strikes attempted
52
86
Total strikes landed
38
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
322s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Umar Nurmagomedov
21-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
20 fights · 14-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—