Back to UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Prelims2 Light Heavyweight

Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Iwo Baraniewski
Ibo Aslan
53% 47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Baraniewski: 22 sig / 0 TD · Aslan: 30 sig / 0 TD
Iwo Baraniewski
Ibo Aslan
33
Sig strikes landed
39
68
Sig strikes attempted
80
73
Total strikes landed
52
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Iwo Baraniewski

"Rudy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L2

Ibo Aslan

"The Last Ottoman"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—