Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Maycee Barber
Karine Silva
61%
39%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
16-3
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-7
W6
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barber: 55 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 21 sig / 2 TD
Maycee Barber
Karine Silva
48
Sig strikes landed
32
82
Sig strikes attempted
82
81
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
116s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
Blue corner
W1
Karine Silva
"Killer"
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—