Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nazim Sadykhov
Fares Ziam
37%
63%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
12-2-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-4
W2
Current streak
W5
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sadykhov: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Ziam: 31 sig / 2 TD
Nazim Sadykhov
Fares Ziam
30
Sig strikes landed
47
72
Sig strikes attempted
94
42
Total strikes landed
59
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nazim Sadykhov
"Black Wolf"
12-2-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
D
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W5
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
19-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—