Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Brandon Moreno
Tatsuro Taira
38%
62%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
24-10-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
19-2
W2
Current streak
W1
18
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Moreno: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Taira: 28 sig / 1 TD
Brandon Moreno
Tatsuro Taira
45
Sig strikes landed
48
89
Sig strikes attempted
105
65
Total strikes landed
72
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
24-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
18 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W1
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
19-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—