Prelims1
Featherweight
Joanderson Brito vs Isaac Thomson
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joanderson Brito
Isaac Thomson
83%
17%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
31
Age
Δ 7y
24
L2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brito: 33 sig / 8 TD ·
Thomson: 21 sig / 4 TD
Joanderson Brito
Isaac Thomson
40
Sig strikes landed
43
78
Sig strikes attempted
65
63
Total strikes landed
50
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
192s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Joanderson Brito
"Tubarao"
18-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
Isaac Thomson
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Age
24