Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
King Green
Lance Gibson Jr.
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
39
Age
Δ 8y
31
L2
Current streak
—
27
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Green: 65 sig / 1 TD ·
Gibson Jr.: 30 sig / 2 TD
King Green
Lance Gibson Jr.
65
Sig strikes landed
52
97
Sig strikes attempted
101
85
Total strikes landed
66
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
147s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
King Green
35-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
27 fights · 13-12
Last 5
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
Blue corner
Lance Gibson Jr.
"Fearless"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
31