Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Marcus Buchecha
76%
24%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
14-7-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
5-4-1
L1
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nzechukwu: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Buchecha: 27 sig / 3 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Marcus Buchecha
54
Sig strikes landed
31
88
Sig strikes attempted
60
70
Total strikes landed
41
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
94s
Control time
212s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Marcus Buchecha
5-4-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—