Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos
20%
80%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
37
Age
Δ 13y
24
15-7
Career record
Δ 27 pp
19-1
L2
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Chikadze: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Vallejos: 20 sig / 0 TD
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos
64
Sig strikes landed
59
159
Sig strikes attempted
140
80
Total strikes landed
71
-0.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
-9s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
15-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W2
Kevin Vallejos
"El Chino"
19-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—