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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Billy Elekana vs Kevin Christian

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Billy Elekana
Kevin Christian
64% 36%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
80"
30
Age
Δ 0y
31
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Elekana: 17 sig / 0 TD · Christian: 14 sig / 0 TD
Billy Elekana
Kevin Christian
25
Sig strikes landed
29
39
Sig strikes attempted
57
42
Total strikes landed
52
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Billy Elekana

"Son of Susie"
11-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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Blue corner

Kevin Christian

0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31