Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Timmy Cuamba
ChangHo Lee
54%
46%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
11-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-2
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cuamba: 23 sig / 2 TD ·
Lee: 15 sig / 3 TD
Timmy Cuamba
ChangHo Lee
43
Sig strikes landed
50
107
Sig strikes attempted
94
56
Total strikes landed
70
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
87s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
11-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
ChangHo Lee
12-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—