Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Charles Radtke
Daniel Frunza
61%
39%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
35
Age
Δ 4y
32
12-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
9-5
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Radtke: 31 sig / 3 TD ·
Frunza: 6 sig / 0 TD
Charles Radtke
Daniel Frunza
35
Sig strikes landed
26
76
Sig strikes attempted
69
58
Total strikes landed
38
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
165s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
12-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
Blue corner
L1
Daniel Frunza
9-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—