Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jeremiah Wells
Themba Gorimbo
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
39
Age
Δ 4y
35
13-5-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-8
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wells: 32 sig / 3 TD ·
Gorimbo: 18 sig / 6 TD
Jeremiah Wells
Themba Gorimbo
15
Sig strikes landed
25
34
Sig strikes attempted
43
38
Total strikes landed
50
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
202s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jeremiah Wells
13-5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
39
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
Blue corner
L1
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
14-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—