Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Ante Delija
50%
50%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
17-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
27-8
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cortes Acosta: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Delija: 16 sig / 0 TD
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Ante Delija
40
Sig strikes landed
38
89
Sig strikes attempted
88
49
Total strikes landed
40
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
51s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ante Delija
"Walking Trouble"
27-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—