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Prelims1 Welterweight

Phil Rowe vs Seokhyeon Ko

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Phil Rowe
Seokhyeon Ko
35% 65%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 10"
71"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
12-7
Career record
Δ 24 pp
14-2
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rowe: 4 sig / 0 TD · Ko: 36 sig / 4 TD
Phil Rowe
Seokhyeon Ko
27
Sig strikes landed
26
50
Sig strikes attempted
42
58
Total strikes landed
47
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
82s
Control time
311s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Phil Rowe

"The Fresh Prince"
12-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
L UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
Blue corner
W1

Seokhyeon Ko

"The Korean Tyson"
14-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…