Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Imanol Rodriguez
Roque Conceicao
57%
43%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
26
Age
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rodriguez: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Conceicao: 6 sig / 0 TD
Imanol Rodriguez
Roque Conceicao
34
Sig strikes landed
36
74
Sig strikes attempted
80
70
Total strikes landed
54
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
172s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Imanol Rodriguez
"Himan"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Roque Conceicao
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26