Main
Heavyweight
Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
·ABHA Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Shamil Gaziev
65%
35%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
18-3
Career record
Δ 2 pp
15-3
W1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cortes Acosta: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Gaziev: 6 sig / 0 TD
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Shamil Gaziev
56
Sig strikes landed
38
97
Sig strikes attempted
84
74
Total strikes landed
53
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
66s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
Blue corner
W2
Shamil Gaziev
15-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—