Back to UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Prelims1 Welterweight

Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker ·ABHA Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Nicolas Dalby
Saygid Izagakhmaev
64% 36%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
41
Age
Δ 10y
31
L2
Current streak
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14
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Dalby: 26 sig / 0 TD · Izagakhmaev: 20 sig / 4 TD
Nicolas Dalby
Saygid Izagakhmaev
55
Sig strikes landed
56
138
Sig strikes attempted
129
77
Total strikes landed
75
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
169s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Nicolas Dalby

"Lokomotivo"
24-7-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 14 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
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L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
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W UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
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W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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Blue corner

Saygid Izagakhmaev

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Age
31