Back to UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Prelims1 Featherweight

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Ethyn Ewing

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev ·Madison Square Garden
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Malcolm Wellmaker
Ethyn Ewing
53% 47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wellmaker: 77 sig / 0 TD · Ewing: 85 sig / 3 TD
Malcolm Wellmaker
Ethyn Ewing
30
Sig strikes landed
19
63
Sig strikes attempted
32
41
Total strikes landed
29
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
60s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Malcolm Wellmaker

"The Machine"
11-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
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W UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
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Blue corner

Ethyn Ewing

"The Professor Finesser"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30